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Money to Burn

27/4/2014

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viking pattern
Startup funding can be a delicate dance, especially when one or more angel investors are providing the cash.  Like any complex set of gyrations, spoken and unspoken social conventions overlay the basic rules and provide much of the charm and frustration.  Of course, the underlying purpose is very simple and never varies.  The startup needs money and the investor needs to splash his or her cash.  Don’t forget the second part of this.  Every investor has limits and boundaries but fundamentally they want to find a reason to spend.  Because of the rules of the game, one simple piece of information is often obscured or even totally overlooked.  Crunch question for the founder/ CEO/ Chairman - how will you spend the money?

If this seems too obvious, think about the follow up question which often causes much angst.  Are you asking for enough?  Amongst investors at least, this question usually results in a  debate of knowing nods and wise generalisations.  In other words, opinion and ego rather than answers.  Startups teams take a different approach. The fundraising target often comes before any form of business plan so the story is designed to justify the numbers rather than being the outcome of any strategic thought.

All of this arises because it is not actually such a simple question.  Answering it requires an understanding of some big levers in the business model and an ability to make some tough choices.  Both pretty valuable qualities for a CEO to demonstrate.  I have just made an investment in Mallzee and the way Cally Russell, the CEO, answered these questions was a big factor in my decision.  What was going through my mind?

There are basically three ways to spend the money.  Sales and marketing effort to achieve growth in revenues, developing the product to enhance user reach and engagement or overheads necessary to provide and managed environment for either or both of the first two.  The key challenge is to understand how money spent in each category leads to revenue and cost.  Remember, this can usually be predicted and measured in the online world. Initial estimates based on concept products, minimum viable products or marketing experiments may prove to be wrong.  Seeing this, adapting and understanding are part of the growing pains but the startup should have some data to use as a starting point.  

Using this data should enable the CEO to predict how money invest in this area converts to revenue and thus make a direct link to the cash burn.  Money spent on product development may be harder to measure.  Sometimes, the link will be simple.  Making a successful IOS app available on Android for example.  In all cases, quality and reliability of product underpins user engagement and loyalty which in turn support stability and growth in the revenue line.  Planned investment in development should at least be pointing in this direction.

I can already hear teams complaining that success needs money in both these areas and in overheads to back them up.  Very true.  That’s where your startup turns from a project into a business.  Choices, choices, choices.  No-one has unlimited funds.  The track record of business which have money to burn is pretty dreadful anyway.  Such companies usually lose the focus and urgency which made them rich to begin with.  Good businesspeople understand that their primary function is to make decisions.  In most cases making the wrong decision three times out of four will outperform no decision by a very wide margin.  

So no easy answer but a crucial question.  Any investor will tell you they invest in people ahead of product.  For me, one of the key tests is how people answer this question.  I don’t expect to see a spreadsheet with precise answers.  I am looking for an understanding of the choices available and how to balance them as things unfold.  How would you spend more money if you were offered it? What could you achieve with less?  

A final thought.  How an investment is spent should translate into a financial outcome which in turn leads to figuring out if and when more cash is needed which naturally takes you to the next investment round and which ultimately gives a picture of what an exit might look like.  Pretty important area to think through...

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When a plan comes together....

21/4/2014

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As an investor, I see a lot of business plans for start ups.  Everything from an idea to an operating business with a five year track record is supported by a plan.  Everyone from the first time angel through syndicates to large venture capital funds places a lot of store by these documents.  Quite often, the business plan is the only part of the pitch that has been prepared by a professional advisor and therefore represents spending some scarce cash. I know from talking to founders that the business plan is always the result of blood, sweat and tears. 

It would be generous, for all this effort, to describe the quality and coherence of startup business plans as variable.  There can be huge gaps, numbers and measures are often unclear, markets and business models are poorly defined.  It is one of the most frustrating experiences to talk to a startup team and find passion, knowledge and vision that are missing from the written plan.

So what do I look for?  This is not intended to be a ‘how to” manual for drafting a business plan. It is also a very personal view.  There are five key things which stand out for me:
  1. Its a pitch. No-one uses business plans to actually, like plan what to do with a business. In the corporate world these documents are budget or target setting games.  For Startups it is more vital. This is the game of raising funds and you must play it. Don't lose sight of the goal and design a document that sells you idea well.
  2. Define the market precisely.  Many business plans describe multi billion dollar opportunities or use general definitions from Gartner and their ilk.  Not informative or convincing. I already know that say Amazon sells a lot of stuff.  Tell me who will buy your product and why. Even better who will not.
  3. Think about your sales and service model.  Most plans today are quite rightly software as a service. All very well but the buyers will expect a service as a result.  You may not know everything but at least consider how you will sell and provide service to your end customer. This could well be the biggest single driver of cost as you grow. Direct sales, channels and partnerships all have very different implications.
  4. Link performance and financials. Everything can be measured. So figure out which measures of user acquisition, engagement and behaviour really create revenue for your business and measure it.  Show me the link so I can understand your financial projections. Most importantly work this out for your own benefit.
  5. Be clear about exit. Angels are very bad at talking about this as well. For early investors, this is really the only thing that matters.  Very few businesses will ever list on the stock exchange so don't worry too much about becoming Mark Zuckerberg. Focus on possible trade buyers instead.

If you get these things right, you will have me hooked. After this there is only one question I need answered, what will you spend the money on?

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Startups are changing everything

21/4/2014

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viking button
"Software is eating the world" Marc Andreessen
The Economist has described today as a Cambrian moment. Start ups are disrupting virtually all business sectors.  Founding a business ranks ahead of virtually every career option. Mobile devices with user friendly cloud based software are changing every aspect of our daily lives. Is this another bubble?  Who will be the winners and how will they succeed?

Sunstone is investing experience, professionalism, and our extensive UK and international networks to help start ups succeed.  We are involved in fundraising and also invest some of our founder's money. We understand the mobile and digital ecosystem and we know how new ideas work.  Whether just starting, raising finance, building the business through rapid growth or planning for exit we can help. 

We link realtime measures to financial outcomes at each stage.  We help build partnerships with global businesses.  We provide advice, coaching and mentoring to start up teams.

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    Kenny Fraser is the Director of Sunstone Communication and a personal investor in startups.

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  • Home
    • Tartan in Tallinn
  • Blog
  • Free Downloads
    • Sunstone Financial Information Survey 2017
    • Sunstone SaaS SWOT Analysis Tool
    • The Book of Business Plan Ephemera 2014
    • SMB SaaS Unit Economics Calculator
    • How technology is killing the CIO
  • About
    • Kenny Fraser
    • The Legend
    • Community >
      • Mallzee
      • Appointedd
      • SaaS Group
  • Financial Model